Theta AI
Pipeline V5.3 · score contract v1
Unidimensional Item Response Theory using a Graded Response Model fitted in R with mirt, then Expected A Posteriori scoring.
Calibration asset
Frozen synthetic item bank synth-bank-v1 · 20 items · synthetic calibration cohort n=500 · seed cal-20260921-b. Input/output SHA-256 values and commit 49380c1e are recorded in the provenance asset.
Score contract
EAP theta, standard error, 95% interval, and ability_percentile = 100 × Φ(theta) against a frozen N(0,1) reference.
Ability level
Low below -1, Moderate from -1 through 1 inclusive, and High above 1. This is a descriptive relative level, not a pass/fail cut score.
Separate constructs
Panels are never weighted, blended, or summed. Turnover risk is not measured in the current canonical version, and no proxy is substituted.
Integrity evidence
Detector features produce reviewer reference signals, not proof of misconduct. The flag guide records possible false-positive causes and follow-up questions.
Synthetic calibration
synth-bank-v1 synthetic calibration (n=500) reported marginal reliability 0.913. Fitted asset SHA begins 19cdb985; calibration run 35553441453.
Synthetic recovery
synth-detectors-v1 untouched synthetic validation reported theta recovery r=0.850 (95% CI 0.794–0.900; 2,000 bootstrap samples), final run 35578002689. This is not job-performance predictive validity.
Synthetic integrity classifier
synth-detectors-v1 untouched synthetic validation: precision 0.900 (95% CI 0.794–0.977), recall 0.900 (95% CI 0.795–0.979), specificity 0.991 (95% CI 0.982–0.998); dev run 35555214723.
Frozen detector configuration
04_model_training_ensemble.R v7.2.2 and 06_model_evaluation.R v8.3.31 use XGBoost 0.35, LightGBM 0.35, Random Forest 0.30, deep learning 0.00. Frozen target-label cutoff 0.495350; classification threshold 0.5.
Known limits
- Synthetic calibration is not real-world validity evidence.
- Oracle generating parameters are used only for diagnostic comparison, never for fitted scoring.
- This asset applies only to synthetic fixed form synth-bank-v1.
- Promotion to frozen status requires a separate honest calibration cohort and successful artifact/provenance checks.
